MLB Picks Today: Best Pitcher Props for Friday’s Baseball Slate

Happy Friday!

I’ve got a couple pitcher props for my MLB picks today as we head into what looks like a gorgeous weather weekend (at least here in the northeast).

Twins at Pirates

Jared Jones Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+131 DraftKings)

The Pirates are having their best season in a decade thanks mostly to their top-end pitching, and they get another excellent starter back tonight. Jones will make his first appearance since 2024 as he gets the ball vs. the Twins. He tossed 121 IP in the majors in ‘24, with a 26.2% K% and 14.1% SwStr% and his skills look fully back. It’s just a question of endurance. In his 18.1 IP of rehab across three levels, Jones had a 32.9% K% and 15.5% SwSwr%. He faced 18 batters each in his last two starts so ideally he’ll increase that a shade and get through 5 IP.

He faces a Twins team that is one of the easier groups in MLB to whiff. They have the 5th highest K% in the league vs. righties at 23.3% and the 6th highest on the road at 24.6%

Giants at Rockies

Logan Webb Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110 FanDuel)

OK how about a double shot of SP’s back from the IL? In this case it’s a much briefer stay as Webb last pitched on May 5th. He’s had a generally challenging bad season with an uncharacteristically ugly 5.06 ERA and 1.40 WHIP plus he heads to Coors Field which is never fun. But he should be fine to give us some length here as it wasn’t a long layoff and he’s averaged exactly 6 innings and 7 strikeouts in his 8 starts. What’s more he’s K’ed at least 5 hitters in 6 of those starts. So again, it’s a number he should reach if he goes anywhere close to his normal length.

The Rockies offense is just plain bad, even in their launching pad. They have a 77 wRC+ which is 2nd worst in MLB, and their unadjusted home wOBA of .321 that’s midpack and their K% of 22.3% is the 9th worst mark in the league. I’m cautiously optimistic Webb’s break will do him a world of good and I’m going to roll with him here.