The Cubs are at an even 5-5 since May 27th, though the team is currently tied for third place in the NL Central and 6.5 games back of the Brewers for first place. Since May 16th, which marked the start of a 10-game losing streak, the Cubs’ pitching staff and lineup have both struggled more than usual. Cubs starters are 2-12 in their last 20 games and have a 7.11 ERA that ranks dead last in the Majors. Meanwhile, the hitters are batting .223/.311/.360 with a 93 wRC+ in that span.
In light of those recent struggles, Cubs president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer was asked about the team’s approach to the August 3rd trade deadline. In response, Hoyer told Jesse Rogers of ESPN and others, “We’ll be looking at pitching at that point. [But] sitting here talking about the deadline, given how we’ve played, is the wrong thing to talk about.” Hoyer also called the team’s position player group a key strength while doubling down on the trade deadline being “the furthest thing from my mind.”
The comment around pitching is understandable, as nearly every contender looks to add fresh arms at the deadline. Barring a total collapse, the Cubs can expect to be buyers this year. They’re currently just behind the Padres for the last NL Wild Card spot and have a favorable schedule in June, with 14 games left against the Giants, Rockies, and Mets. FanGraphs gives Chicago a 47.0% chance of making the playoffs right now.
Still, it might be wise for the Cubs’ front office to show greater urgency about making additions. The rotation has struggled this year even beyond the current slide. The group’s 4.81 ERA is tied with the Astros for second-worst in the Majors, with only Rockies’ starters performing worse. While Cubs starters are average or better at getting strikeouts and limiting walks, they’re also allowing hard contact 37.0% of the time, which ranks third-worst. They rank second-worst (ahead of the Athletics) with 1.65 home runs allowed per nine innings.
It’s hard to see much improvement if the club simply stays the course with existing options. Shota Imanaga and Jameson Taillon are the Cubs’ only qualified starters. Both have ERAs over 4.70 and opponents’ averages on balls in play in the .230 range, suggesting they’ve been lucky to achieve even those results. Edward Cabrera is striking out a career-low 21.5% of hitters and allowing a 91.6 MPH average exit velocity, which ranks in the fifth percentile across MLB. Ben Brown (1.2 fWAR) is the team’s most valuable starter, and he’s only made six starts since transitioning from the bullpen.
The issue isn’t helped by the slate of injuries the Cubs have experienced. Matthew Boyd was worth 3.4 fWAR in 2025 and had strong peripherals in five starts earlier this year. He has missed the last month with a left meniscus injury. Justin Steele has experienced setbacks in recovering from UCL revision surgery and is not expected back until the second half. Cade Horton is out until mid-2027 after undergoing Tommy John surgery in April. Given those injuries and the performance of the existing starters, it would behoove the Cubs to be aggressive in adding starters come August 3rd, even if Hoyer is non-committal in the present.
In contrast, the offense is more likely than the pitching staff to improve on its recent performance. Even factoring in the slide, Cubs hitters are tied for sixth-best in the Majors with a 107 wRC+ this year. Ian Happ, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Michael Busch, and Seiya Suzuki are all at least 14% better than average by wRC+. Alex Bregman won’t be a below-average hitter forever, and Nico Hoerner‘s 96 wRC+ is below-average but not terrible, especially considering his value on defense.
Dansby Swanson is the only qualified Cubs hitter who is struggling overall. He is batting just .180/.285/.322 with a 75 wRC+ in 240 plate appearances this year. The 75 wRC+ is well below last year’s 99 mark and would be Swanson’s lowest in a full season since 2018. According to Patrick Mooney of The Athletic, manager Craig Counsell is planning to temporarily bench Swanson for a few games to help him regroup. Swanson, who entered as the ghost runner in the tenth inning yesterday, will presumably still be available off the bench.
Swanson is known as a streaky hitter, and that’s been the case this year as well. He had an 86 wRC+ through May 15th, but he’s put up a 45 wRC+ since May 16th. Swanson has also been very unlucky. His .207 average on balls in play is well below league average and due for regression. Swanson is striking out less and walking more than last year, while his 89.5 MPH average exit velocity is down from last year but similar to 2024, when he was right around league average. The team will hope that a few days off can get Swanson back on track mentally and help him return to his career norms at the plate.
In minor news, the Cubs have signed righty Andrew Wantz to a minor league contract, according to his transactions tracker at MLB.com. Wantz started the year with the Rays but only threw 1 2/3 innings before being designated for assignment a week ago. His last meaningful big league sample came in 2023, when Wantz had a 3.89 ERA in 39 1/3 innings for the Angels. He’s purely a depth signing and figures to get called up only if there is an injury or a short-term need for a fresh arm.
Photo courtesy of Charles LeClaire, Imagn Images
