Top 10 NFL Player Prop Bets for NFL Week 13

With the holiday season now upon us, I’m sure most of us could benefit from putting money down on the best NFL player props of the week. Of course, with three games on Thanksgiving and one on Black Friday, we’ll have fewer games to choose from this week.

Then again, with no one on a bye week, we’ll still have 11 on Sunday and another on Monday night. 

The following are our top ten picks in no particular order for the remaining NFL games in Week 13.

Cam Ward, OVER 199.5 Passing Yards at -1154 (FanDuel)
He’s gone OVER this TOTAL in five of his last seven games, the two he missed being the Texans and Chargers (two of the best pass defenses in the NFL). Jacksonville’s defense ranks 25th against the pass and just gave up 300+ to Jacoby Brissett and 292 yards to Texans backup QB Davis Mills.

Kirk Cousins, OVER .5 Interceptions at +162 (FanDuel)
Cousins had 16 interceptions in 14 games last season and had one last week in his first start for the Falcons this season. With his best weapon, Drake London, out, he doesn’t have a whole lot to work with. The Jets’ defense only has five interceptions this season, but at +162, this market still has value.

Jonathan Taylor, UNDER 87.5 Rushing Yards at -115 (BetMGM)
In eight career games vs. Houston, Taylor rushed for OVER this mark in six of them. But the Texans’ defense is one of the best in the league against the run this season, holding teams to 92.2 yards per game and running backs to 73.3 ypg (fifth best in the NFL).

Aaron Jones, OVER 18.5 Receiving Yards at -114 (DraftKings)
With J.J. McCarthy in the concussion protocol, there is a good chance the Vikings will end up starting Max Brosmer, an undrafted rookie, this week. So, the Seahawks defense will likely put heavy pressure on him, forcing him to make decisions quicker than he’s ready to handle. Consequently, he’ll likely check down to Jones early and often, making it easy for him to go OVER this mark.

R.J. Harvey, OVER 47.5 Rushing Yards at -114 (FanDuel)
With J.K. Dobbins out for the season, Harvey becomes the No. 1 guy in the backfield for the Broncos. As long as he gets 15-20 carries like Dobbins usually had, he’ll have no trouble breaking out against a Washington defense ranked 28th against the run and giving up 100+ yards a game to running backs.

TreVeyon Henderson, OVER 65.5 Rushing Yards at -114 (FanDuel)
Once they started giving him 10+ carries on a weekly basis, Henderson has been producing, gaining 55+ yards a game, and going OVER this TOTAL in three of five games. As long as they continue to give him the ball, going OVER this mark should be easy vs. the worst run defense in the league.

Bryce Young, UNDER 197.5 Passing Yards at -115 (BetMGM)
Young followed up his 448-yard game with a 169-yard game last week against the 49ers. It was his fourth game in his last five UNDER this TOTAL and seventh of the season. The Rams defense averages 208.5 passing yards per game allowed, but don’t count on Young coming close to the TOTAL.

Geno Smith, OVER 202.5 Passing Yards at -111 (DraftKings)
The struggle has been real for Smith and the Raiders this season, but if the rumor is true, former OC Chip Kelly had a lot to do with that dysfunction. Despite their issues, Smith still threw for OVER this mark in three of his last four games and six total this season. As long as interim OC Greg Olsen doesn’t figure out how to get Ashton Jeanty on track, the Raiders will continue to throw early and often, giving him a solid chance to go OVER this TOTAL despite playing a Chargers team with a top-five pass defense.

Brock Purdy, UNDER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns at -150 at -115 (BetMGM)
Cleveland has one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, but they have given up 17 passing touchdowns this season. However, since his return, Brock Purdy has not been playing well. Yes, he recorded three TDs vs. Arizona, but he only got one against a lackluster Panthers D and threw three INTs. It’s unlikely he will find his rhythm against this defense. Take the UNDER.

De’Von Achane, OVER 78.5 Rushing Yards at -114 (FanDuel)
The Dolphins appear to have figured out that if they feed their best offensive player the ball, he’ll produce for them. Hence, Achane getting 20+ carries the last two weeks and running for 100+ in both games. As long as he gets the ball 15-20 times against a mediocre Saints defense, he’ll go OVER the TOTAL.