Six weeks since he last took the mound, superstar left-hander Tarik Skubal is officially back. The Tigers have activated the two-time reigning AL Cy Young winner from the 15-day injured list and placed right-hander Jack Flaherty on the 15-day IL with a left peroneal strain. In other moves, the Tigers recalled infielder Hao-Yu Lee from Triple-A Toledo and optioned righty Ty Madden.
Skubal will get the ball on Saturday against the AL Central rival Guardians, whom he has held to a 2.33 ERA over a dozen starts since he debuted in 2020. It will be Skubal’s first MLB outing since he fired seven frames of two-run ball against the Braves on April 29. In his lone rehab start last Sunday with High-A West Michigan, Skubal tossed 54 pitches over five scoreless, two-hit innings. He struck out six and walked none.
Skubal underwent surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow on May 6. At that point, the fear was Skubal would miss two to three months. Instead, opting for the relatively new NanoNeedle procedure – a less invasive surgery – led to a far quicker recovery for Skubal. He is just 38 days removed from going under the knife. Injured Dodgers lefty Blake Snell has also made good progress since he underwent the same surgery about a week and a half later than Skubal. It could be a game changer for pitchers if Skubal and Snell bounce back from it.
Skubal’s surgery temporarily derailed what has been yet another excellent season for the 29-year-old. He came out of the gates with 43 1/3 innings of 2.70 ERA ball and recorded a 27.1 strikeout percentage against a microscopic 3.6 percent walk rate. The Tigers were off to a bit of a slow start with a healthy Skubal, as they owned a 15-16 record after his most recent start. The wheels came off for most of his time on the shelf.
The Tigers now sit a highly disappointing 29-41, but they have won seven of their last 10 to climb back into the playoff race in a weak league. While they are nine games back of the surprising White Sox in the Central, they face a more manageable 5 1/2-game deficit to earn a wild-card spot. As the Tigers know, even nine games may not be too much to overcome. They lost what looked like an insurmountable 15 1/2-game lead to the Guardians over the final couple months of the 2025 campaign.
There is still over a month and a half left until the Aug. 3 trade deadline, giving the Tigers enough time to emerge as buyers or at least avoid selling. If they fall out of the race, president of baseball operations Scott Harris will have to decide how to proceed with Skubal. The Scott Boras client is due to reach free agency in the offseason, and odds are Detroit will not be the highest bidder for his services. As someone who will be the most coveted trade chip in the game leading up to the deadline, Skubal could net the Tigers a nice package of prospects. Otherwise, if he departs in free agency after receiving and rejecting a qualifying offer, the Tigers will get one a draft pick as compensation. That pick will come after the first round.
While Skubal’s long-term future will be determined at a later date, the Tigers can take solace in the fact that their rotation is getting healthier. Righty Casey Mize, who has been down since late May with groin tightness, will return Sunday. Franchise icon Justin Verlander, who made his lone start of the year way back on March 30, is making progress in his recovery from hip inflammation. Meanwhile, after missing almost two full months with elbow inflammation, righty Troy Melton debuted May 24 and has since notched a 2.81 ERA over a four-start, 25 2/3-inning span.
For now, Skubal and Mize will rejoin Melton, Keider Montero and big-money offseason signing Framber Valdez in the Tigers’ rotation. Tigers manager A.J. Hinch was prepared to deploy a six-man group, but that was before Flaherty exited a loss to the Guardians on Friday after just three innings. His injury “affects the tendon that wraps around the outside of the foot and ankle,” Evan Woodbery of MLive.com explains.
Like Skubal, Flaherty is on track to reach free agency during the offseason. However, barring a turnaround when Flaherty comes back (assuming he does), he will not reach the market with much momentum.
After exercising a $20MM player option to stay with the Tigers over the winter, Flaherty has pitched to a 5.35 ERA with a 25.5 strikeout percentage and an 11.1 percent walk across 15 starts and 65 2/3 frames this season. The 30-year-old has doled out free passes at the second-highest clip of his career and recorded a personal-worst 30.3 percent ground-ball rate. A higher-than-usual .337 batting average on balls in play and an abnormally low 63 percent strand rate have hurt Flaherty, whose FIP (4.10), SIERA (4.19), xFIP (4.52). xERA (4.58) are all far lower than his ERA. Perhaps there will be positive regression if he returns.
