Mets right-hander Clay Holmes sustained a fractured right fibula in tonight’s 5-2 loss to the Yankees, according to Mike Puma of the New York Post. Manager Carlos Mendoza told Anthony DiComo of MLB.com and others that Holmes will “be down for a long time.” He has not been placed on the injured list yet, though a move is inevitable given Mendoza’s comments.
Holmes sustained the injury in the top of the 4th inning. Yankees outfielder Spencer Jones hit a liner that deflected off Holmes’ right leg and resulted in an infield single (video courtesy of MLB.com). Holmes was visited by trainers after the play but remained in the game, eventually departing after 4 1/3 innings. He underwent X-rays after the game, which revealed the fracture.
The impending loss of Holmes is a massive blow to the Mets, who are already struggling en route to one of the worst records in baseball at 18-26. Holmes is arguably the Mets’ most important starting pitcher this side of Nolan McLean. Including tonight’s game, in which he allowed four earned runs, Holmes has an excellent 2.39 ERA in 52 2/3 innings this year. Although his strikeout rate is slightly below average, Holmes excels by keeping the ball on the ground. His 56.0% groundball rate puts him in the Top 10 of qualified starters and is on par with last year’s 55.8% figure. Losing that production for any amount of time would be devastating, even more so with Holmes figuring to be out for months rather than weeks.
As a whole, the Mets’ rotation has been middle-of-the-pack in 2026. The group’s 3.93 ERA entering play today ranked 11th in the Majors, while their 14.7% strikeout to walk differential ranked 10th. Meanwhile, the group’s 3.67 expected ERA ranks fifth in the league and suggests the Mets’ starters have been slightly unlucky in that performance. The rotation has also had to weather poor injury luck, as Kodai Senga (lumbar spine inflammation) has been down for two weeks and Justin Hagenman (rib fracture) has been on the injured list since Spring Training.
Obviously, the Mets’ rotation injuries don’t account for all of the team’s struggles. The offense has a terrible 85 wRC+ and is tied for second-worst in the Majors in that regard. In contrast, the bullpen is tied for fourth-best in the Majors with a 1.8 combined fWAR. As mentioned, the rotation is middle-of-the-pack, and that’s despite poor performances from David Peterson (8.10 ERA in five traditional starts) and Senga (9.00 ERA in five starts pre-injury). Overall, the pitching staff is the Mets’ strong suit amid their offensive struggles, making Holmes’ injury sting even more.
In Holmes’ absence, McLean, Peralta, and Christian Scott are the remaining starters. Peterson has provided bulk innings out of the ‘pen in his last two appearances and should remain in that role. If the Mets are comfortable having two spots for openers or bullpen games, they could use Sean Manaea as another bulk arm alongside Peterson. Manaea, who has been a starter for most of his career, threw between 41 and 74 pitches in all six of his relief appearances this April. He’s been used in short relief in May but could feasibly be stretched out to a larger workload again. If the team prefers a more traditional starter, No. 2 prospect Jonah Tong could be recalled from the minors.
Photo courtesy of Vincent Carchietta, Imagn Images
