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    Home»Politics & Opinion»CA Politics»AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District special election
    CA Politics

    AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District special election

    News DeskBy News DeskJuly 27, 2026No Comments6 Mins Read
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    AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Georgia's 13th Congressional District special election
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    WASHINGTON (AP) — Six candidates in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District will compete in a special election on Tuesday to replace the late Democratic U.S. Rep. David Scott, who died in April.

    The contest in the heavily Democratic district could have an immediate impact on the balance of power in the U.S. House, where Republicans cling to a thin majority.

    Under Georgia law, the four Democrats and two Republicans running to succeed Scott will appear on the same ballot, and any of them could secure the seat outright by winning a majority of the special election vote. Otherwise, the top two vote-getters regardless of party will advance to an Aug. 25 special runoff election.

    The winner will serve out the remaining few months of Scott’s current term.

    Among the Democrats vying for the seat are former Gwinnett County School Board Chair Everton Blair and Marcye Scott, daughter of the late congressman. Democrats Tony Brown and Carlos Moore and Republicans Caesar Gonzales and Fayth Park are also on the ballot.

    Blair is the only candidate in the field who also ran for the full-term seat set to begin in January 2027. He placed third in the May 19 Democratic primary with about 12% of the vote. State Rep. Jasmine Clark won the primary with 56% of the vote and will face Republican Jonathan Chavez in November. Chavez, who ran unopposed for the GOP nomination, challenged David Scott in the 2024 general election and received about 28% of the vote.

    Clark did not file to compete in the special election. Doing so would have required her to resign from her seat in the state Legislature just as Republican Gov. Brian Kemp was calling for a special session to redraw the state’s congressional boundaries in time for the 2028 elections. The state constitution bars state officeholders from seeking a different office with a start date more than 30 days before the end of the officeholder’s current term. The special session did convene, but Republican leaders opted not to take up redistricting.

    In recent years, congressman Scott had faced questions over his age and health. At the time of his death at age 80, he was facing a tough primary challenge from Clark and others as he sought a 13th term.

    Georgia’s 13th Congressional District is east and southeast of Atlanta and includes parts of six heavily Democratic counties: Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton and Rockdale. Of the six, the district’s portion of Gwinnett County has the lion’s share of voters, about 46% of the district electorate in the 2024 general election. The district includes only a small sliver of DeKalb County, which plays a much bigger role in the 4th and 5th Congressional Districts.

    Scott won his 2024 reelection bid with about 72% of the vote. That night, Democratic then-Vice President Kamala Harris received about 71% in the district, compared with about 28% for Republican Donald Trump, in the presidential election. Trump had his best performance in the district in Gwinnett County, although that still only amounted to about 35% of the vote.

    Here are some of the key facts about the election and data points the AP Decision Team will monitor as the votes are tallied:

    When do polls close?

    Polls close at 7 p.m. ET.

    What’s on the ballot?

    The Associated Press will provide vote results and declare winners in the special election for the 13th Congressional District.

    Who gets to vote?

    Any voter registered in the 13th Congressional District may participate in the special election.

    How many voters are there?

    As of July 21, there were about 584,000 registered voters in the 13th Congressional District. Georgia voters do not register by party.

    How many people actually vote?

    About 358,000 votes were cast in the 2024 U.S. House general election in the 13th District. Turnout in special elections tends to be significantly lower than in regularly scheduled November general elections.

    How much of the vote is cast early or by absentee ballot?

    About 78% of the total vote in the 13th District general election in 2024 was cast early in person or by mail.

    As of Friday, nearly 8,700 ballots had already been cast in Tuesday’s election, with the largest share coming from Gwinnett County, followed by Clayton County.

    When are early and absentee votes released?

    All six counties in the 13th Congressional District tend to release most or all of their results from early in-person and mail voting in the first vote update of the night, usually before any in-person Election Day results are released.

    How long does vote-counting usually take?

    In the 2024 general election, the AP first reported results in the 13th District U.S. House race at 7:10 p.m. ET, or 10 minutes after polls closed. About half of the total vote had been counted by 9:31 p.m. ET. The last vote update of the night was at 2:21 a.m. ET, with about 99.9% of total votes counted.

    When will the AP declare a winner?

    The AP does not make projections and will declare a winner only when it’s determined there is no scenario that would allow a trailing candidate to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, such as candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why.

    How do recounts work?

    There is no automatic recount provision in Georgia, but a losing candidate may request a recount if the margin is less than or equal to 0.5% of the total vote. The AP may declare a winner in a race that is subject to a recount if it can determine the lead is too large for a recount or legal challenge to change the outcome.

    Are we there yet?

    As of Tuesday, there will be 28 days until the Aug. 25 special runoff election, if needed, and 98 days until the 2026 midterm elections on Nov. 3.

    ___

    Follow the AP’s coverage of the 2026 election at https://apnews.com/projects/elections-2026/.

    Robert Yoon, The Associated Press

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